Welterweight
3 Rounds
Matt Brown won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, November 11, 2017·Norfolk, Virginia, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Matt Brown wins(70.0%)
Actual result: Matt Brown wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Matt Brown has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Diego Sanchez (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Matt Brown
Red Corner
VS
Diego Sanchez
Blue Corner
-350
(78%)
Vegas Odds
+290
(26%)
45
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'0"
Height
5'10"
190.5 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Matt Brown
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Miguel Baeza · May 20L
vs Carlos Condit · Jan 21W
KOvs Dhiego Lima · Jun 21L
vs Bryan Barberena · Mar 22W
KOvs Court McGee · May 23Diego Sanchez
oldest →latest
W
vs Craig White · Sep 18W
KOvs Mickey Gall · Mar 19L
vs Michael Chiesa · Jul 19W
vs Michel Pereira · Feb 20L
vs Jake Matthews · Sep 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Matt BrownMetricDiego Sanchez
3.76
Strikes / min
2.69
2.92
Strikes absorbed / min
3.02
55%
Strike defense
56%
1.68
TDs / 15 min
1.51
63%
Takedown defense
46%
1.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.84Δ 1.17 — meaningful gap-0.33
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Matt BrownDiego Sanchez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Matt Brown(10 fights)Diego Sanchez(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+19.0-19.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+133.0-133.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Matt Brown
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights25
Diego Sanchez
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights19