Welterweight
5 Rounds
Matt Brown won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, May 10, 2014·Cincinnati, Ohio, USA, USA
Style matchupMatt Brown: Submission grapplervsErick Silva: Submission grappler
Submission battle — patience and grip-fighting decide it on the mat.
Model Prediction: Matt Brown wins(69.1%)
Actual result: Matt Brown wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Matt Brown is a KO finisher (77% of wins). Erick Silva has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Erick Silva threatens submissions; Matt Brown has lost 42% of fights by sub.
Tale of the Tape
Matt Brown
Red Corner
VS
Erick Silva
Blue Corner
+210
(32%)
Vegas Odds
-230
(70%)
45
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'0"
190.5 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Matt Brown
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Miguel Baeza · May 20L
vs Carlos Condit · Jan 21W
KOvs Dhiego Lima · Jun 21L
vs Bryan Barberena · Mar 22W
KOvs Court McGee · May 23Erick SilvaL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Neil Magny · Aug 15L
KOvs Nordine Taleb · Mar 16W
SUBvs Luan Chagas · Sep 16L
KOvs Yancy Medeiros · Jun 17L
vs Jordan Mein · Dec 17Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Matt BrownMetricErick Silva
3.76
Strikes / min
2.50
2.92
Strikes absorbed / min
4.18
55%
Strike defense
49%
1.68
TDs / 15 min
0.85
63%
Takedown defense
56%
1.30
Sub atts / 15 min
1.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.84Δ 2.52 — meaningful gap-1.68
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Matt BrownErick Silva
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Matt Brown(10 fights)Erick Silva(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+49.4-49.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+182.0-182.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.4-1.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Matt Brown
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights25
Erick Silva
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights15