Welterweight
3 Rounds
Matt Brown won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Sunday, June 26, 2011·Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA, USA
Style matchupMatt Brown: Submission grapplervsJohn Howard: Wrestler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Matt Brown wins(70.9%)
Actual result: Matt Brown wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Tale of the Tape
Matt Brown
Red Corner
VS
John Howard
Blue Corner
+235
(30%)
Vegas Odds
-255
(72%)
45
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'7"
190.5 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Matt Brown
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Miguel Baeza · May 20L
vs Carlos Condit · Jan 21W
KOvs Dhiego Lima · Jun 21L
vs Bryan Barberena · Mar 22W
KOvs Court McGee · May 23John Howard
oldest →latest
L
vs Ryan LaFlare · Apr 14L
vs Brian Ebersole · Sep 14L
KOvs Lorenz Larkin · Jan 15W
vs Cathal Pendred · Jul 15L
KOvs Tim Means · Dec 15Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Matt BrownMetricJohn Howard
3.76
Strikes / min
2.15
2.92
Strikes absorbed / min
3.08
55%
Strike defense
51%
1.68
TDs / 15 min
2.70
63%
Takedown defense
53%
1.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.84Δ 1.77 — meaningful gap-0.93
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Matt BrownJohn Howard
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Matt Brown(10 fights)John Howard(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-31.331.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+21.0-21.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Matt Brown
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights25
John Howard
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights11