Welterweight
3 Rounds
Matt Brown won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 21, 2012·Atlanta, Georgia, USA, USA
Style matchupMatt Brown: Submission grapplervsStephen Thompson: Striker
Striker must keep this standing. Grappler wins big if it hits the floor.
Model Prediction: Matt Brown wins(62.6%)
Actual result: Matt Brown wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stephen Thompson enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
Tale of the Tape
Matt Brown
Red Corner
VS
Stephen Thompson
Blue Corner
+200
(33%)
Vegas Odds
-220
(69%)
45
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'0"
190.5 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Matt Brown
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Miguel Baeza · May 20L
vs Carlos Condit · Jan 21W
KOvs Dhiego Lima · Jun 21L
vs Bryan Barberena · Mar 22W
KOvs Court McGee · May 23Stephen ThompsonL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Belal Muhammad · Dec 21W
KOvs Kevin Holland · Dec 22L
SUBvs Shavkat Rakhmonov · Dec 23L
KOvs Joaquin Buckley · Oct 24L
vs Gabriel Bonfim · Jul 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Matt BrownMetricStephen Thompson
3.76
Strikes / min
4.05
2.92
Strikes absorbed / min
3.00
55%
Strike defense
54%
1.68
TDs / 15 min
0.23
63%
Takedown defense
63%
1.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.84evenly matched on net striking+1.05
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Matt BrownStephen Thompson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Matt Brown(10 fights)Stephen Thompson(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-45.845.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.90.9
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.9-1.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
Matt Brown
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights25
Stephen Thompson
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights21