Welterweight
3 Rounds
Randy Brown won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, January 30, 2016·Newark, New Jersey, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Matt Dwyer wins(55.3%)
Actual result: Randy Brown wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Tale of the Tape
Matt Dwyer
Red Corner
VS
Randy Brown
Blue Corner
+125
(44%)
Vegas Odds
-145
(59%)
36
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'3"
193.04 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Matt Dwyer
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Albert Tumenov · Oct 14W
vs William Patolino · Feb 15L
vs Alan Jouban · Jul 15Randy Brown
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Muslim Salikhov · Feb 24W
vs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Jun 24L
vs Bryan Battle · Dec 24W
KOvs Nicolas Dalby · Apr 25L
KOvs Gabriel Bonfim · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Matt DwyerMetricRandy Brown
2.57
Strikes / min
4.39
3.24
Strikes absorbed / min
3.35
54%
Strike defense
53%
0.44
TDs / 15 min
0.71
60%
Takedown defense
74%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.67Δ 1.71 — meaningful gap+1.04
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Matt DwyerRandy Brown
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Matt Dwyer(4 fights)Randy Brown(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-17.417.4
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.849.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
Matt Dwyer
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights4
Randy Brown
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights21