Lightweight
3 Rounds
Benoit Saint Denis won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, November 11, 2023·New York City, New York, USA, USA
Style matchupMatt Frevola: WrestlervsBenoit Saint Denis: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Benoit Saint Denis wins(53.3%)
Actual result: Benoit Saint Denis wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Benoit Saint Denis enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Matt Frevola is a KO finisher (60% of wins). Benoit Saint Denis has lost 67% of fights by KO.
- Benoit Saint Denis is a KO finisher (56% of wins). Matt Frevola has lost 60% of fights by KO.
- Matt Frevola has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Benoit Saint Denis has 32pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Benoit Saint Denis (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Matt Frevola
Red Corner
VS
Benoit Saint Denis
Blue Corner
+180
(36%)
Vegas Odds
-238
(70%)
35
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'9"
Height
5'11"
180.34 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Matt FrevolaL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Genaro Valdez · Jan 22W
KOvs Ottman Azaitar · Nov 22W
KOvs Drew Dober · May 23L
KOvs Fares Ziam · Sep 24L
vs Kyle Nelson · Oct 25Benoit Saint DenisW4 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Renato Moicano · Sep 24W
SUBvs Kyle Prepolec · May 25W
SUBvs Mauricio Ruffy · Sep 25W
KOvs Beneil Dariush · Nov 25W
KOvs Dan Hooker · Jan 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Matt FrevolaMetricBenoit Saint Denis
3.30
Strikes / min
5.62
3.76
Strikes absorbed / min
4.09
56%
Strike defense
42%
2.34
TDs / 15 min
4.19
40%
Takedown defense
72%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
1.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.46Δ 1.99 — meaningful gap+1.53
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Matt FrevolaBenoit Saint Denis
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Matt Frevola(10 fights)Benoit Saint Denis(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+3.4-3.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+119.0-119.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
Matt Frevola
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights10
Benoit Saint Denis
StanceSouthpaw
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights12