Lightweight
3 Rounds
Matt Frevola won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, January 22, 2022·Anaheim, California, USA, USA
Style matchupMatt Frevola: WrestlervsGenaro Valdez: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Matt Frevola wins(68.7%)
Actual result: Matt Frevola wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Matt Frevola enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
Matt Frevola
Red Corner
VS
Genaro Valdez
Blue Corner
-200
(67%)
Vegas Odds
+170
(37%)
35
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'9"
180.34 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Matt FrevolaL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Ottman Azaitar · Nov 22W
KOvs Drew Dober · May 23L
KOvs Benoit Saint Denis · Nov 23L
KOvs Fares Ziam · Sep 24L
vs Kyle Nelson · Oct 25Genaro ValdezL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Natan Levy · Dec 22L
vs Evan Elder · Jul 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Matt FrevolaMetricGenaro Valdez
3.30
Strikes / min
4.08
3.76
Strikes absorbed / min
7.16
56%
Strike defense
48%
2.34
TDs / 15 min
1.54
40%
Takedown defense
36%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.46Δ 2.62 — meaningful gap-3.08
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Matt FrevolaGenaro Valdez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Matt Frevola(10 fights)Genaro Valdez(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+3.5-3.5
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.249.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.649.6
Matt Frevola
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights10
Genaro Valdez
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights3