Lightweight
3 Rounds
Matt Frevola won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, November 12, 2022·New York City, New York, USA, USA
Style matchupMatt Frevola: WrestlervsOttman Azaitar: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Matt Frevola wins(60.2%)
Actual result: Matt Frevola wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Matt Frevola enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Matt Frevola is a KO finisher (60% of wins). Ottman Azaitar has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Ottman Azaitar is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Matt Frevola has lost 60% of fights by KO.
- Ottman Azaitar has 60pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Ottman Azaitar (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Matt Frevola
Red Corner
VS
Ottman Azaitar
Blue Corner
+140
(42%)
Vegas Odds
-165
(62%)
35
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'9"
Height
5'8"
180.34 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Matt FrevolaL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Genaro Valdez · Jan 22W
KOvs Drew Dober · May 23L
KOvs Benoit Saint Denis · Nov 23L
KOvs Fares Ziam · Sep 24L
vs Kyle Nelson · Oct 25Ottman AzaitarL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Teemu Packalen · Sep 19W
KOvs Khama Worthy · Sep 20L
KOvs Francisco Prado · Jul 23L
KOvs Michael Johnson · Dec 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Matt FrevolaMetricOttman Azaitar
3.30
Strikes / min
4.43
3.76
Strikes absorbed / min
4.11
56%
Strike defense
52%
2.34
TDs / 15 min
0.00
40%
Takedown defense
100%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.46evenly matched on net striking+0.32
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Matt FrevolaOttman Azaitar
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Matt Frevola(10 fights)Ottman Azaitar(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-15.515.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-497.0497.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Matt Frevola
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights10
Ottman Azaitar
StanceSwitch
Height68.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights5