Lightweight
3 Rounds
Polo Reyes won
UFC Event·Sunday, January 14, 2018·St. Louis, Missouri, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Matt Frevola wins(58.0%)
Actual result: Polo Reyes wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Matt Frevola enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
Matt Frevola
Red Corner
VS
Polo Reyes
Blue Corner
-200
(67%)
Vegas Odds
+185
(35%)
35
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'11"
180.34 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Matt FrevolaL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Ottman Azaitar · Nov 22W
KOvs Drew Dober · May 23L
KOvs Benoit Saint Denis · Nov 23L
KOvs Fares Ziam · Sep 24L
vs Kyle Nelson · Oct 25Polo ReyesL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Cesar Arzamendia · Nov 15W
vs Dong Hyun Ma · Jun 16W
vs Jason Novelli · Nov 16L
vs James Vick · May 17L
vs Damir Hadzovic · Feb 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Matt FrevolaMetricPolo Reyes
3.30
Strikes / min
—
3.76
Strikes absorbed / min
—
56%
Strike defense
—
2.34
TDs / 15 min
—
40%
Takedown defense
—
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
—
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Matt FrevolaPolo Reyes
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Matt Frevola(10 fights)Polo Reyes(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-34.134.1
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+47.6-47.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+50.0-50.0
Matt Frevola
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights10
Polo Reyes
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights2