Welterweight
3 Rounds
Matt Hughes won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 10, 2010·Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, United Arab Emirates
Model Prediction: Matt Hughes wins(72.2%)
Actual result: Matt Hughes wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Matt Hughes (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Matt Hughes
Red Corner
VS
Renzo Gracie
Blue Corner
-380
(79%)
Vegas Odds
+340
(23%)
52
Age
59
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'10"
185.42 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Matt HughesL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Ricardo Almeida · Aug 10L
KOvs BJ Penn · Nov 10L
KOvs Josh Koscheck · Sep 11Renzo GracieNo prior UFC fights on record.
Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Matt HughesMetricRenzo Gracie
2.14
Strikes / min
1.71
1.36
Strikes absorbed / min
1.67
53%
Strike defense
55%
2.95
TDs / 15 min
1.13
35%
Takedown defense
40%
1.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.78evenly matched on net striking+0.04
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Matt HughesRenzo Gracie
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Matt Hughes(4 fights)Renzo Gracie(1 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Matt Hughes
StanceSwitch
Height69.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights4
Renzo Gracie
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach—
Fights1