Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Matt Mitrione won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Friday, September 5, 2014·Ledyard, Connecticut, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Derrick Lewis wins(56.9%)
Actual result: Matt Mitrione wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Matt Mitrione is a KO finisher (88% of wins). Derrick Lewis has lost 73% of fights by KO.
- Matt Mitrione has 25pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Matt Mitrione (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Matt Mitrione
Red Corner
VS
Derrick Lewis
Blue Corner
+116
(46%)
Vegas Odds
-126
(56%)
47
Age
41
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'3"
208.28 cm
Reach
200.66 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Matt MitrioneL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Brendan Schaub · Sep 13W
KOvs Shawn Jordan · Mar 14W
KOvs Gabriel Gonzaga · Dec 14L
SUBvs Ben Rothwell · Jun 15L
KOvs Travis Browne · Jan 16Derrick Lewis
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Jul 23L
vs Jailton Almeida · Nov 23W
KOvs Rodrigo Nascimento · May 24W
KOvs Tallison Teixeira · Jul 25L
KOvs Waldo Cortes Acosta · Jan 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Matt MitrioneMetricDerrick Lewis
3.55
Strikes / min
2.46
2.79
Strikes absorbed / min
2.57
64%
Strike defense
39%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.55
55%
Takedown defense
52%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.76evenly matched on net striking-0.11
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Matt MitrioneDerrick Lewis
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Matt Mitrione(10 fights)Derrick Lewis(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+7.4-7.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+127.0-127.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.1-1.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Matt Mitrione
StanceSwitch
Height75.0"
Reach82.0"
Fights13
Derrick Lewis
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights31