Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Matt Mitrione won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, September 25, 2010·Indianapolis, Indiana, USA, USA
Style matchupMatt Mitrione: Elusive strikervsJoey Beltran: Pressure fighter
The elusive striker must use the cage and footwork. The pressure fighter forces the war.
Model Prediction: Matt Mitrione wins(63.2%)
Actual result: Matt Mitrione wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Joey Beltran enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Matt Mitrione has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Joey Beltran has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Matt Mitrione (52.9%).
- Matt Mitrione has a 18cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Matt Mitrione
Red Corner
VS
Joey Beltran
Blue Corner
-174
(64%)
Vegas Odds
+164
(38%)
47
Age
44
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'1"
208.28 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Matt MitrioneL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Shawn Jordan · Mar 14W
KOvs Derrick Lewis · Sep 14W
KOvs Gabriel Gonzaga · Dec 14L
SUBvs Ben Rothwell · Jun 15L
KOvs Travis Browne · Jan 16Joey BeltranL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Aaron Rosa · Jun 11L
vs Stipe Miocic · Oct 11L
KOvs Lavar Johnson · Jan 12L
vs James Te Huna · Jul 12L
vs Fabio Maldonado · Oct 13Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Matt MitrioneMetricJoey Beltran
3.55
Strikes / min
4.92
2.79
Strikes absorbed / min
5.27
64%
Strike defense
54%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.48
55%
Takedown defense
75%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.76Δ 1.11 — meaningful gap-0.35
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Matt MitrioneJoey Beltran
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Matt Mitrione(10 fights)Joey Beltran(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Matt Mitrione
StanceSwitch
Height75.0"
Reach82.0"
Fights13
Joey Beltran
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights8