Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Matt Mitrione won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, April 6, 2013·Stockholm, Sweden, Sweden
Style matchupMatt Mitrione: Elusive strikervsPhilip De Fries: Wrestler
The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.
Model Prediction: Philip De Fries wins(51.5%)
Actual result: Matt Mitrione wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Matt Mitrione is a KO finisher (88% of wins). Philip De Fries has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Philip De Fries threatens submissions; Matt Mitrione has lost 40% of fights by sub.
- Matt Mitrione has 27pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Philip De Fries has 45pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Matt Mitrione (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Matt Mitrione
Red Corner
VS
Philip De Fries
Blue Corner
-250
(71%)
Vegas Odds
+230
(30%)
47
Age
40
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'5"
208.28 cm
Reach
200.66 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Matt MitrioneL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Shawn Jordan · Mar 14W
KOvs Derrick Lewis · Sep 14W
KOvs Gabriel Gonzaga · Dec 14L
SUBvs Ben Rothwell · Jun 15L
KOvs Travis Browne · Jan 16Philip De Fries
oldest →latest
W
vs Rob Broughton · Nov 11L
KOvs Stipe Miocic · Feb 12W
SUBvs Oli Thompson · Aug 12L
KOvs Todd Duffee · Dec 12Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Matt MitrioneMetricPhilip De Fries
3.55
Strikes / min
2.30
2.79
Strikes absorbed / min
3.00
64%
Strike defense
37%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
3.29
55%
Takedown defense
100%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.76Δ 1.46 — meaningful gap-0.70
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Matt MitrionePhilip De Fries
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Matt Mitrione(10 fights)Philip De Fries(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+23.1-23.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+14.0-14.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.3-1.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Matt Mitrione
StanceSwitch
Height75.0"
Reach82.0"
Fights13
Philip De Fries
StanceOrthodox
Height77.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights5