Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Cody Durden won · SUB R2
MS
CD
Matt SchnellvsCody Durden
UFC Event · Saturday, September 7, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupMatt Schnell: Pressure fightervsCody Durden: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Matt Schnell wins(50.1%)
Actual result: Cody Durden wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Cody Durden enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Matt Schnell threatens submissions; Cody Durden has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Stance matchup historically favors Cody Durden (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Matt Schnell
Red Corner
VS
Cody Durden
Blue Corner
+225
(31%)
Vegas Odds
-278
(74%)
36
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'8"
Height
5'7"
177.8 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Matt Schnell
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Sumudaerji · Jul 22L
KOvs Matheus Nicolau · Dec 22L
KOvs Steve Erceg · Mar 24W
vs Jimmy Flick · Apr 25L
SUBvs Joseph Morales · Nov 25Cody DurdenL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Bruno Silva · Jul 24L
vs Joshua Van · Dec 24L
KOvs Jose Ochoa · Jun 25L
SUBvs Allan Nascimento · Nov 25L
vs Nyamjargal Tumendemberel · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Matt SchnellMetricCody Durden
4.07
Strikes / min
3.24
4.11
Strikes absorbed / min
3.94
55%
Strike defense
50%
0.60
TDs / 15 min
3.99
43%
Takedown defense
56%
1.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.04evenly matched on net striking-0.70
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Matt SchnellCody Durden
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Matt Schnell(10 fights)Cody Durden(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-21.121.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+140.0-140.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
Matt Schnell
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights16
Cody Durden
StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights14