Flyweight
3 Rounds
Matt Schnell won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 26, 2025·Kansas City, Missouri, USA, USA
Style matchupMatt Schnell: Pressure fightervsJimmy Flick: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Matt Schnell wins(61.4%)
Actual result: Matt Schnell wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Matt Schnell enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Jimmy Flick threatens submissions; Matt Schnell has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Matt Schnell has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Matt Schnell has 43pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Matt Schnell
Red Corner
VS
Jimmy Flick
Blue Corner
-164
(62%)
Vegas Odds
+138
(42%)
36
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'7"
177.8 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Matt SchnellL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Sumudaerji · Jul 22L
KOvs Matheus Nicolau · Dec 22L
KOvs Steve Erceg · Mar 24L
SUBvs Cody Durden · Sep 24L
SUBvs Joseph Morales · Nov 25Jimmy Flick
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Cody Durden · Dec 20L
KOvs Charles Johnson · Jan 23L
KOvs Alessandro Costa · Jun 23W
SUBvs Malcolm Gordon · Jan 24L
vs Nate Maness · Jun 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Matt SchnellMetricJimmy Flick
4.07
Strikes / min
1.67
4.11
Strikes absorbed / min
4.70
55%
Strike defense
43%
0.60
TDs / 15 min
2.36
43%
Takedown defense
0%
1.20
Sub atts / 15 min
3.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.04Δ 2.99 — meaningful gap-3.03
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Matt SchnellJimmy Flick
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Matt Schnell(10 fights)Jimmy Flick(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-7.87.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-84.084.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.90.9
Matt Schnell
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights16
Jimmy Flick
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights6