Flyweight
3 Rounds
Matt Schnell won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 7, 2017·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Matt Schnell wins(65.2%)
Actual result: Matt Schnell wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Matt Schnell threatens submissions; Marco Beltran has lost 50% of fights by sub.
Tale of the Tape
Matt Schnell
Red Corner
VS
Marco Beltran
Blue Corner
-125
(56%)
Vegas Odds
+105
(49%)
36
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'8"
177.8 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Matt Schnell
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Matheus Nicolau · Dec 22L
KOvs Steve Erceg · Mar 24L
SUBvs Cody Durden · Sep 24W
vs Jimmy Flick · Apr 25L
SUBvs Joseph Morales · Nov 25Marco Beltran
oldest →latest
W
vs Marlon Vera · Nov 14W
vs Ning Guangyou · Nov 15W
SUBvs Reginaldo Vieira · Jul 16L
SUBvs Joe Soto · Nov 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Matt SchnellMetricMarco Beltran
4.07
Strikes / min
2.07
4.11
Strikes absorbed / min
1.93
55%
Strike defense
63%
0.60
TDs / 15 min
0.70
43%
Takedown defense
46%
1.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.04evenly matched on net striking+0.14
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Matt SchnellMarco Beltran
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Matt Schnell(10 fights)Marco Beltran(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-59.059.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-168.0168.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.11.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.90.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Matt Schnell
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights16
Marco Beltran
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights5