Flyweight
3 Rounds
Matt Schnell won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 23, 2018·Kallang, Singapore, Singapore
Style matchupMatt Schnell: Pressure fightervsNaoki Inoue: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Matt Schnell wins(54.2%)
Actual result: Matt Schnell wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Naoki Inoue has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Matt Schnell
Red Corner
VS
Naoki Inoue
Blue Corner
+165
(38%)
Vegas Odds
-190
(66%)
36
Age
28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'9"
177.8 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Matt Schnell
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Matheus Nicolau · Dec 22L
KOvs Steve Erceg · Mar 24L
SUBvs Cody Durden · Sep 24W
vs Jimmy Flick · Apr 25L
SUBvs Joseph Morales · Nov 25Naoki Inoue
oldest →latest
W
vs Carls John De Tomas · Jun 17Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Matt SchnellMetricNaoki Inoue
4.07
Strikes / min
3.67
4.11
Strikes absorbed / min
3.37
55%
Strike defense
60%
0.60
TDs / 15 min
0.00
43%
Takedown defense
60%
1.20
Sub atts / 15 min
2.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.04evenly matched on net striking+0.30
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Matt SchnellNaoki Inoue
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Matt Schnell(10 fights)Naoki Inoue(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-27.727.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-112.0112.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Matt Schnell
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights16
Naoki Inoue
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights2