Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Rogerio Bontorin won · U-DEC
UFC Event·Saturday, May 15, 2021·Houston, Texas, USA, USA
Style matchupMatt Schnell: Pressure fightervsRogerio Bontorin: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Rogerio Bontorin wins(50.1%)
Actual result: Rogerio Bontorin wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Rogerio Bontorin enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
Matt Schnell
Red Corner
VS
Rogerio Bontorin
Blue Corner
-165
(62%)
Vegas Odds
+145
(41%)
36
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'5"
177.8 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Matt Schnell
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Matheus Nicolau · Dec 22L
KOvs Steve Erceg · Mar 24L
SUBvs Cody Durden · Sep 24W
vs Jimmy Flick · Apr 25L
SUBvs Joseph Morales · Nov 25Rogerio BontorinL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Magomed Bibulatov · Feb 19W
KOvs Raulian Paiva · Aug 19L
vs Ray Borg · Feb 20L
KOvs Kai Kara-France · Mar 21L
vs Brandon Royval · Jan 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Matt SchnellMetricRogerio Bontorin
4.07
Strikes / min
2.63
4.11
Strikes absorbed / min
3.27
55%
Strike defense
50%
0.60
TDs / 15 min
2.90
43%
Takedown defense
51%
1.20
Sub atts / 15 min
1.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.04evenly matched on net striking-0.64
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Matt SchnellRogerio Bontorin
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Matt Schnell(10 fights)Rogerio Bontorin(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+37.6-37.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+45.0-45.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.2-1.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Matt Schnell
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights16
Rogerio Bontorin
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights6