Flyweight
3 Rounds
Matt Schnell won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, July 16, 2022·Elmont, New York, USA, USA
Style matchupMatt Schnell: Pressure fightervsSumudaerji: Elusive striker
The elusive striker must use the cage and footwork. The pressure fighter forces the war.
Model Prediction: Matt Schnell wins(51.0%)
Actual result: Matt Schnell wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Sumudaerji enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Matt Schnell threatens submissions; Sumudaerji has lost 67% of fights by sub.
- Sumudaerji has 29pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Sumudaerji (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Matt Schnell
Red Corner
VS
Sumudaerji
Blue Corner
+220
(31%)
Vegas Odds
-260
(72%)
36
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'8"
Height
5'8"
177.8 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Matt Schnell
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Matheus Nicolau · Dec 22L
KOvs Steve Erceg · Mar 24L
SUBvs Cody Durden · Sep 24W
vs Jimmy Flick · Apr 25L
SUBvs Joseph Morales · Nov 25SumudaerjiW3 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Tim Elliott · Dec 23L
vs Charles Johnson · Oct 24W
vs Mitch Raposo · Apr 25W
vs Kevin Borjas · Aug 25W
vs Jesus Aguilar · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Matt SchnellMetricSumudaerji
4.07
Strikes / min
4.43
4.11
Strikes absorbed / min
2.35
55%
Strike defense
62%
0.60
TDs / 15 min
0.67
43%
Takedown defense
72%
1.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.04Δ 2.12 — meaningful gap+2.08
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Matt SchnellSumudaerji
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Matt Schnell(10 fights)Sumudaerji(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+3.3-3.3
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.249.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.749.7
Matt Schnell
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights16
Sumudaerji
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights6