Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Sean O'Connell won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Sunday, January 18, 2015·Boston, Massachusetts, USA, USA
Style matchupMatt Van Buren: Pressure fightervsSean O'Connell: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Sean O'Connell wins(57.8%)
Actual result: Sean O'Connell wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Sean O'Connell enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Sean O'Connell is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Matt Van Buren has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Matt Van Buren has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Matt Van Buren
Red Corner
VS
Sean O'Connell
Blue Corner
+215
(32%)
Vegas Odds
-235
(70%)
39
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'5"
Height
6'1"
193.04 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Matt Van Buren
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Corey Anderson · Jul 14Sean O'ConnellL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Gian Villante · Jun 14W
KOvs Anthony Perosh · May 15L
KOvs Ilir Latifi · Jan 16L
vs Steve Bosse · Jun 16L
KOvs Corey Anderson · Dec 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Matt Van BurenMetricSean O'Connell
7.73
Strikes / min
5.46
6.82
Strikes absorbed / min
6.77
49%
Strike defense
45%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.00
50%
Takedown defense
30%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.91Δ 2.22 — meaningful gap-1.31
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Matt Van BurenSean O'Connell
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Matt Van Buren(2 fights)Sean O'Connell(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+15.8-15.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-8.08.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Matt Van Buren
Stance—
Height77.0"
Reach—
Fights2
Sean O'Connell
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights7