Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Matt Wiman threatens submissions; Jordan Leavitt has lost 75% of fights by sub.
- Matt Wiman has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jordan Leavitt (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Matt WimanL2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Paul Sass · Sep 12W
vs Isaac Vallie-Flagg · Nov 14 Jordan Leavitt
oldest →W
KOvs Victor Martinez · Feb 23L
SUBvs Chase Hooper · Nov 23W
SUBvs Kurt Holobaugh · May 25W
vs Yadier del Valle · Feb 26L
SUBvs Joanderson Brito · Jun 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Matt WimanMetricJordan Leavitt
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.40Δ 1.02 — meaningful gap+0.62
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Matt WimanJordan Leavitt
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Matt Wiman(10 fights)Jordan Leavitt(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -114.3|Blue +114.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -48.3|Blue +48.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.4|Blue +49.4
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Matt WimanTargetJordan Leavitt
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Jordan Leavitt edged it
Sig. strikes0
Takedowns0
Control0:00
1Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
