Lightweight
3 Rounds
Jordan Leavitt won · KO/TKO
UFC Event·Saturday, December 5, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupMatt Wiman: WrestlervsJordan Leavitt: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Jordan Leavitt wins(53.6%)
Actual result: Jordan Leavitt wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Matt Wiman threatens submissions; Jordan Leavitt has lost 67% of fights by sub.
- Matt Wiman has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jordan Leavitt (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Matt Wiman
Red Corner
VS
Jordan Leavitt
Blue Corner
+310
(24%)
Vegas Odds
-420
(81%)
42
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'10"
Height
5'9"
172.72 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Matt WimanL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Paul Sass · Sep 12L
KOvs TJ Grant · Jan 13W
vs Isaac Vallie-Flagg · Nov 14L
KOvs Luis Pena · Jun 19L
vs Joe Solecki · Dec 19Jordan LeavittW2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Paddy Pimblett · Jul 22W
KOvs Victor Martinez · Feb 23L
SUBvs Chase Hooper · Nov 23W
SUBvs Kurt Holobaugh · May 25W
vs Yadier del Valle · Feb 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Matt WimanMetricJordan Leavitt
3.17
Strikes / min
2.21
3.57
Strikes absorbed / min
1.59
51%
Strike defense
58%
2.13
TDs / 15 min
3.15
56%
Takedown defense
30%
1.50
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.40Δ 1.02 — meaningful gap+0.62
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Matt WimanJordan Leavitt
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Matt Wiman(10 fights)Jordan Leavitt(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+11.4-11.4
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.348.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.449.4
Matt Wiman
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights10
Jordan Leavitt
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights9