Lightweight
3 Rounds
Luis Pena won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 22, 2019·Greenville, South Carolina, USA, USA
Style matchupMatt Wiman: WrestlervsLuis Pena: Submission grappler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Luis Pena wins(55.7%)
Actual result: Luis Pena wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Matt Wiman threatens submissions; Luis Pena has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Stance matchup historically favors Luis Pena (53.5%).
- Luis Pena has a 18cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Matt Wiman
Red Corner
VS
Luis Pena
Blue Corner
+315
(24%)
Vegas Odds
-380
(79%)
42
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'10"
Height
6'3"
172.72 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Matt WimanL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Paul Sass · Sep 12L
KOvs TJ Grant · Jan 13W
vs Isaac Vallie-Flagg · Nov 14L
vs Joe Solecki · Dec 19L
KOvs Jordan Leavitt · Dec 20Luis Pena
oldest →latest
W
vs Steven Peterson · Mar 19L
vs Matt Frevola · Oct 19W
vs Steve Garcia · Feb 20L
SUBvs Khama Worthy · Jun 20W
vs Alexander Munoz · Apr 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Matt WimanMetricLuis Pena
3.17
Strikes / min
3.66
3.57
Strikes absorbed / min
3.12
51%
Strike defense
51%
2.13
TDs / 15 min
1.17
56%
Takedown defense
48%
1.50
Sub atts / 15 min
1.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.40evenly matched on net striking+0.54
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Matt WimanLuis Pena
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Matt Wiman(10 fights)Luis Pena(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+36.1-36.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+1582.0-1582.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.5-1.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Matt Wiman
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights10
Luis Pena
StanceSouthpaw
Height75.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights8