Lightweight
3 Rounds
Matt Wiman won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 1, 2011·Washington, DC, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Matt Wiman wins(64.0%)
Actual result: Matt Wiman wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Matt Wiman enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Mac Danzig enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Mac Danzig is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Matt Wiman has lost 60% of fights by KO.
Tale of the Tape
Matt Wiman
Red Corner
VS
Mac Danzig
Blue Corner
-220
(69%)
Vegas Odds
+200
(33%)
42
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'8"
172.72 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Matt WimanL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs TJ Grant · Jan 13W
vs Isaac Vallie-Flagg · Nov 14L
KOvs Luis Pena · Jun 19L
vs Joe Solecki · Dec 19L
KOvs Jordan Leavitt · Dec 20Mac DanzigL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Joe Stevenson · Dec 10W
vs Efrain Escudero · Apr 12L
vs Takanori Gomi · Nov 12L
KOvs Melvin Guillard · Jul 13L
vs Joe Lauzon · Dec 13Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Matt WimanMetricMac Danzig
3.17
Strikes / min
3.39
3.57
Strikes absorbed / min
3.44
51%
Strike defense
57%
2.13
TDs / 15 min
1.20
56%
Takedown defense
46%
1.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.40evenly matched on net striking-0.05
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Matt WimanMac Danzig
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Matt Wiman(10 fights)Mac Danzig(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+17.7-17.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-203.0203.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Matt Wiman
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights10
Mac Danzig
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights7