Welterweight
3 Rounds
Matthew Riddle won · DQ R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 27, 2010·Newark, New Jersey, USA, USA
Style matchupMatthew Riddle: WrestlervsGreg Soto: Submission grappler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Matthew Riddle wins(50.8%)
Actual result: Matthew Riddle wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Matthew Riddle has 45pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Matthew Riddle (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Matthew Riddle
Red Corner
VS
Greg Soto
Blue Corner
-230
(70%)
Vegas Odds
+190
(34%)
40
Age
39
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
5'11"
193.04 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Matthew RiddleW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs DaMarques Johnson · Aug 10L
vs Sean Pierson · Dec 10L
vs Lance Benoist · Sep 11W
vs Henry Martinez · Feb 12W
vs John Maguire · Nov 12Greg Soto
oldest →latest
W
vs Nick Osipczak · Aug 10L
SUBvs Daniel Roberts · Jan 11Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Matthew RiddleMetricGreg Soto
3.01
Strikes / min
3.21
2.74
Strikes absorbed / min
2.61
54%
Strike defense
52%
3.51
TDs / 15 min
1.49
89%
Takedown defense
44%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
1.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.27evenly matched on net striking+0.60
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Matthew RiddleGreg Soto
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Matthew Riddle(6 fights)Greg Soto(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Matthew Riddle
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights6
Greg Soto
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights3