Welterweight
3 Rounds
Matthew Riddle won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 17, 2012·Montreal, Quebec, Canada, Canada
Style matchupMatthew Riddle: WrestlervsJohn Maguire: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Matthew Riddle wins(52.2%)
Actual result: Matthew Riddle wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- John Maguire has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Matthew Riddle has a 18cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Matthew Riddle
Red Corner
VS
John Maguire
Blue Corner
-220
(69%)
Vegas Odds
+200
(33%)
40
Age
43
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
6'1"
Height
5'9"
193.04 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Matthew Riddle
oldest →latest
W
vs Greg Soto · Mar 10W
KOvs DaMarques Johnson · Aug 10L
vs Sean Pierson · Dec 10L
vs Lance Benoist · Sep 11W
vs Henry Martinez · Feb 12John MaguireL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Justin Edwards · Nov 11W
SUBvs DaMarques Johnson · Apr 12L
vs John Hathaway · Sep 12L
vs Mitch Clarke · Jun 13Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Matthew RiddleMetricJohn Maguire
3.01
Strikes / min
1.41
2.74
Strikes absorbed / min
2.44
54%
Strike defense
65%
3.51
TDs / 15 min
2.80
89%
Takedown defense
77%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.27Δ 1.30 — meaningful gap-1.03
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Matthew RiddleJohn Maguire
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Matthew Riddle(6 fights)John Maguire(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-2.62.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+238.0-238.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.7-1.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Matthew Riddle
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights6
John Maguire
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights5