Welterweight
3 Rounds
Lance Benoist won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, September 17, 2011·New Orleans, Louisiana, USA, USA
Style matchupMatthew Riddle: WrestlervsLance Benoist: Elusive striker
The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.
Model Prediction: Lance Benoist wins(56.2%)
Actual result: Lance Benoist wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Matthew Riddle has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Matthew Riddle has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Matthew Riddle
Red Corner
VS
Lance Benoist
Blue Corner
-210
(68%)
Vegas Odds
+175
(36%)
40
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
6'1"
Height
5'11"
193.04 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Matthew RiddleW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Greg Soto · Mar 10W
KOvs DaMarques Johnson · Aug 10L
vs Sean Pierson · Dec 10W
vs Henry Martinez · Feb 12W
vs John Maguire · Nov 12Lance Benoist
oldest →latest
L
vs Seth Baczynski · Jun 12L
vs Sean Pierson · Sep 12W
vs Bobby Voelker · Jun 14Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Matthew RiddleMetricLance Benoist
3.01
Strikes / min
3.68
2.74
Strikes absorbed / min
2.70
54%
Strike defense
56%
3.51
TDs / 15 min
1.50
89%
Takedown defense
61%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.27evenly matched on net striking+0.98
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Matthew RiddleLance Benoist
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Matthew Riddle(6 fights)Lance Benoist(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+16.5-16.5
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-47.047.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.349.3
Matthew Riddle
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights6
Lance Benoist
StanceSouthpaw
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights4