Welterweight
3 Rounds
Charles Radtke won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, November 9, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Charles Radtke wins(60.9%)
Actual result: Charles Radtke wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Matthew Semelsberger enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Charles Radtke has 55pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Matthew Semelsberger (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Matthew Semelsberger
Red Corner
VS
Charles Radtke
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
33
Age
35
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
5'9"
190.5 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Matthew SemelsbergerL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Alex Morono · Jul 22W
vs Jake Matthews · Dec 22L
vs Jeremiah Wells · Apr 23L
KOvs Uros Medic · Jul 23L
vs Preston Parsons · Jan 24Charles Radtke
oldest →latest
W
vs Blood Diamond · Sep 23W
KOvs Gilbert Urbina · Feb 24L
KOvs Carlos Prates · Jun 24L
KOvs Mike Malott · May 25W
SUBvs Daniel Frunza · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Matthew SemelsbergerMetricCharles Radtke
3.77
Strikes / min
2.50
4.24
Strikes absorbed / min
2.45
54%
Strike defense
54%
1.01
TDs / 15 min
1.99
45%
Takedown defense
100%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.47evenly matched on net striking+0.05
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Matthew SemelsbergerCharles Radtke
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Matthew Semelsberger(10 fights)Charles Radtke(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-17.917.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+147.0-147.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Matthew Semelsberger
StanceSwitch
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights11
Charles Radtke
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights6