Welterweight
3 Rounds
Preston Parsons won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, January 13, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Preston Parsons wins(51.1%)
Actual result: Preston Parsons wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Matthew Semelsberger enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Preston Parsons enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Preston Parsons has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Matthew Semelsberger (52.9%).
- Matthew Semelsberger has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Matthew Semelsberger
Red Corner
VS
Preston Parsons
Blue Corner
-130
(57%)
Vegas Odds
+100
(50%)
33
Age
30
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
5'11"
190.5 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Matthew SemelsbergerL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Alex Morono · Jul 22W
vs Jake Matthews · Dec 22L
vs Jeremiah Wells · Apr 23L
KOvs Uros Medic · Jul 23L
KOvs Charles Radtke · Nov 24Preston ParsonsL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Daniel Rodriguez · Jul 21W
vs Evan Elder · Apr 22L
vs Trevin Giles · Mar 23L
vs Oban Elliott · Jul 24L
KOvs Jacobe Smith · Jan 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Matthew SemelsbergerMetricPreston Parsons
3.77
Strikes / min
3.54
4.24
Strikes absorbed / min
3.25
54%
Strike defense
54%
1.01
TDs / 15 min
3.46
45%
Takedown defense
71%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
2.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.47evenly matched on net striking+0.29
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Matthew SemelsbergerPreston Parsons
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Matthew Semelsberger(10 fights)Preston Parsons(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+30.7-30.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-126.0126.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Matthew Semelsberger
StanceSwitch
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights11
Preston Parsons
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights6