Welterweight
3 Rounds
Uros Medic won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 29, 2023·Salt Lake City, Utah, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Matthew Semelsberger wins(50.5%)
Actual result: Uros Medic wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Matthew Semelsberger enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Uros Medic enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Matthew Semelsberger (54.1%).
- Matthew Semelsberger has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Matthew Semelsberger
Red Corner
VS
Uros Medic
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
33
Age
33
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
6'1"
Height
6'1"
190.5 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Matthew SemelsbergerL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Alex Morono · Jul 22W
vs Jake Matthews · Dec 22L
vs Jeremiah Wells · Apr 23L
vs Preston Parsons · Jan 24L
KOvs Charles Radtke · Nov 24Uros MedicW3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Tim Means · Apr 24L
KOvs Punahele Soriano · Jan 25W
KOvs Gilbert Urbina · Aug 25W
KOvs Muslim Salikhov · Nov 25W
KOvs Geoff Neal · Feb 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Matthew SemelsbergerMetricUros Medic
3.77
Strikes / min
5.59
4.24
Strikes absorbed / min
3.42
54%
Strike defense
56%
1.01
TDs / 15 min
0.34
45%
Takedown defense
55%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.47Δ 2.64 — meaningful gap+2.17
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Matthew SemelsbergerUros Medic
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Matthew Semelsberger(10 fights)Uros Medic(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+18.7-18.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-336.0336.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Matthew Semelsberger
StanceSwitch
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights11
Uros Medic
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights10