Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Marcos Rogerio de Lima won · U-DEC
UFC Event·Saturday, May 8, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Marcos Rogerio de Lima wins(56.9%)
Actual result: Marcos Rogerio de Lima wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Marcos Rogerio de Lima is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Maurice Greene has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Maurice Greene threatens submissions; Marcos Rogerio de Lima has lost 71% of fights by sub.
- Marcos Rogerio de Lima has 32pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Maurice Greene has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Maurice Greene
Red Corner
VS
Marcos Rogerio de Lima
Blue Corner
+157
(39%)
Vegas Odds
-177
(64%)
39
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'7"
Height
6'1"
203.2 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Maurice Greene
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Junior Albini · Jun 19L
KOvs Sergei Pavlovich · Oct 19L
SUBvs Aleksei Oleinik · Jan 20W
SUBvs Gian Villante · Jun 20L
KOvs Greg Hardy · Oct 20Marcos Rogerio de Lima
oldest →latest
L
vs Blagoy Ivanov · May 22W
SUBvs Andrei Arlovski · Oct 22W
vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta · Apr 23L
KOvs Derrick Lewis · Jul 23W
KOvs Junior Tafa · Feb 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Maurice GreeneMetricMarcos Rogerio de Lima
3.28
Strikes / min
3.70
3.61
Strikes absorbed / min
2.90
45%
Strike defense
51%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
1.40
27%
Takedown defense
59%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.33Δ 1.13 — meaningful gap+0.80
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Maurice GreeneMarcos Rogerio de Lima
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Maurice Greene(8 fights)Marcos Rogerio de Lima(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+11.3-11.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+7.0-7.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
Maurice Greene
StanceOrthodox
Height79.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights8
Marcos Rogerio de Lima
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights17