Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Sergei Pavlovich won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, October 26, 2019·Kallang, Singapore, Singapore
Model Prediction: Sergei Pavlovich wins(52.5%)
Actual result: Sergei Pavlovich wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Sergei Pavlovich is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Maurice Greene has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Sergei Pavlovich has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Sergei Pavlovich has 48pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Sergei Pavlovich (53.5%).
- Sergei Pavlovich has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Maurice Greene
Red Corner
VS
Sergei Pavlovich
Blue Corner
+200
(33%)
Vegas Odds
-240
(71%)
39
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'7"
Height
6'3"
203.2 cm
Reach
213.36 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Maurice GreeneL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Junior Albini · Jun 19L
SUBvs Aleksei Oleinik · Jan 20W
SUBvs Gian Villante · Jun 20L
KOvs Greg Hardy · Oct 20L
vs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · May 21Sergei PavlovichW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Curtis Blaydes · Apr 23L
KOvs Tom Aspinall · Nov 23L
vs Alexander Volkov · Jun 24W
vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik · Feb 25W
vs Waldo Cortes Acosta · Aug 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Maurice GreeneMetricSergei Pavlovich
3.28
Strikes / min
4.43
3.61
Strikes absorbed / min
3.62
45%
Strike defense
55%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.48
27%
Takedown defense
75%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.33Δ 1.14 — meaningful gap+0.81
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Maurice GreeneSergei Pavlovich
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Maurice Greene(8 fights)Sergei Pavlovich(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+36.7-36.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-70.070.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Maurice Greene
StanceOrthodox
Height79.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights8
Sergei Pavlovich
StanceSouthpaw
Height75.0"
Reach84.0"
Fights11