Light Heavyweight
5 Rounds
Anthony Smith won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Sunday, July 22, 2018·Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany, Germany
Model Prediction: Mauricio Rua wins(57.1%)
Actual result: Anthony Smith wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mauricio Rua enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Anthony Smith enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Mauricio Rua is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Anthony Smith has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Mauricio Rua has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Mauricio Rua
Red Corner
VS
Anthony Smith
Blue Corner
-150
(60%)
Vegas Odds
+130
(43%)
44
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'4"
193.04 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mauricio RuaL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Tyson Pedro · Dec 18W
vs Rogerio Nogueira · Jul 20L
KOvs Paul Craig · Nov 20L
vs Ovince Saint Preux · May 22L
KOvs Ihor Potieria · Jan 23Anthony SmithL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Khalil Rountree Jr. · Dec 23W
SUBvs Vitor Petrino · May 24L
vs Roman Dolidze · Jun 24L
KOvs Dominick Reyes · Dec 24L
KOvs Zhang Mingyang · Apr 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mauricio RuaMetricAnthony Smith
3.57
Strikes / min
3.19
2.79
Strikes absorbed / min
5.04
54%
Strike defense
44%
2.01
TDs / 15 min
0.44
49%
Takedown defense
50%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.78Δ 2.63 — meaningful gap-1.85
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Mauricio RuaAnthony Smith
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mauricio Rua(10 fights)Anthony Smith(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-9.59.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+455.0-455.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Mauricio Rua
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights19
Anthony Smith
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights25