Light Heavyweight
5 Rounds
Chael Sonnen won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, August 17, 2013·Boston, Massachusetts, USA, USA
Style matchupMauricio Rua: WrestlervsChael Sonnen: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Chael Sonnen wins(53.7%)
Actual result: Chael Sonnen wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mauricio Rua enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Chael Sonnen enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Mauricio Rua is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Chael Sonnen has lost 75% of fights by KO.
- Chael Sonnen has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Chael Sonnen (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Mauricio Rua
Red Corner
VS
Chael Sonnen
Blue Corner
-160
(62%)
Vegas Odds
+150
(40%)
44
Age
49
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'1"
Height
6'1"
193.04 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mauricio RuaL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Tyson Pedro · Dec 18W
vs Rogerio Nogueira · Jul 20L
KOvs Paul Craig · Nov 20L
vs Ovince Saint Preux · May 22L
KOvs Ihor Potieria · Jan 23Chael SonnenL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Brian Stann · Oct 11W
vs Michael Bisping · Jan 12L
KOvs Anderson Silva · Jul 12L
KOvs Jon Jones · Apr 13L
KOvs Rashad Evans · Nov 13Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mauricio RuaMetricChael Sonnen
3.57
Strikes / min
3.08
2.79
Strikes absorbed / min
1.10
54%
Strike defense
62%
2.01
TDs / 15 min
3.81
49%
Takedown defense
66%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.78Δ 1.20 — meaningful gap+1.98
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Mauricio RuaChael Sonnen
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mauricio Rua(10 fights)Chael Sonnen(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+4.2-4.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+140.0-140.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Mauricio Rua
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights19
Chael Sonnen
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights7