Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Mauricio Rua won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, May 14, 2016·Curitiba, Parana, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupMauricio Rua: WrestlervsCorey Anderson: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Mauricio Rua wins(50.6%)
Actual result: Mauricio Rua wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mauricio Rua enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Mauricio Rua is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Corey Anderson has lost 80% of fights by KO.
- Corey Anderson has 34pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Mauricio Rua
Red Corner
VS
Corey Anderson
Blue Corner
+140
(42%)
Vegas Odds
-160
(62%)
44
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'3"
193.04 cm
Reach
200.66 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mauricio RuaL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Tyson Pedro · Dec 18W
vs Rogerio Nogueira · Jul 20L
KOvs Paul Craig · Nov 20L
vs Ovince Saint Preux · May 22L
KOvs Ihor Potieria · Jan 23Corey Anderson
oldest →latest
W
vs Patrick Cummins · Apr 18W
vs Glover Teixeira · Jul 18W
vs Ilir Latifi · Dec 18W
KOvs Johnny Walker · Nov 19L
KOvs Jan Blachowicz · Feb 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mauricio RuaMetricCorey Anderson
3.57
Strikes / min
4.43
2.79
Strikes absorbed / min
2.22
54%
Strike defense
59%
2.01
TDs / 15 min
4.89
49%
Takedown defense
83%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.78Δ 1.43 — meaningful gap+2.21
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Mauricio RuaCorey Anderson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mauricio Rua(10 fights)Corey Anderson(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-67.667.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+217.0-217.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Mauricio Rua
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights19
Corey Anderson
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights15