Light Heavyweight
5 Rounds
Dan Henderson won · U-DEC R5
UFC Event·Saturday, November 19, 2011·San Jose, California, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Mauricio Rua wins(70.5%)
Actual result: Dan Henderson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mauricio Rua enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Dan Henderson is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Mauricio Rua has lost 60% of fights by KO.
Tale of the Tape
Mauricio Rua
Red Corner
VS
Dan Henderson
Blue Corner
-153
(60%)
Vegas Odds
+143
(41%)
44
Age
55
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
5'11"
193.04 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mauricio RuaL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Tyson Pedro · Dec 18W
vs Rogerio Nogueira · Jul 20L
KOvs Paul Craig · Nov 20L
vs Ovince Saint Preux · May 22L
KOvs Ihor Potieria · Jan 23Dan Henderson
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Gegard Mousasi · Jan 15W
KOvs Tim Boetsch · Jun 15L
KOvs Vitor Belfort · Nov 15W
KOvs Hector Lombard · Jun 16L
vs Michael Bisping · Oct 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mauricio RuaMetricDan Henderson
3.57
Strikes / min
2.44
2.79
Strikes absorbed / min
2.70
54%
Strike defense
51%
2.01
TDs / 15 min
1.52
49%
Takedown defense
57%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.78Δ 1.04 — meaningful gap-0.26
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Mauricio RuaDan Henderson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mauricio Rua(10 fights)Dan Henderson(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+18.1-18.1
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-47.347.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.749.7
Mauricio Rua
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights19
Dan Henderson
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights11