Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Mauricio Rua won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, August 27, 2011·Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupMauricio Rua: WrestlervsForrest Griffin: Elusive striker
The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.
Model Prediction: Mauricio Rua wins(58.2%)
Actual result: Mauricio Rua wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mauricio Rua enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
Mauricio Rua
Red Corner
VS
Forrest Griffin
Blue Corner
-210
(68%)
Vegas Odds
+190
(34%)
44
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'3"
193.04 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mauricio RuaL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Tyson Pedro · Dec 18W
vs Rogerio Nogueira · Jul 20L
KOvs Paul Craig · Nov 20L
vs Ovince Saint Preux · May 22L
KOvs Ihor Potieria · Jan 23Forrest GriffinW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Rich Franklin · Feb 11W
vs Tito Ortiz · Jul 12Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mauricio RuaMetricForrest Griffin
3.57
Strikes / min
4.38
2.79
Strikes absorbed / min
2.81
54%
Strike defense
61%
2.01
TDs / 15 min
1.05
49%
Takedown defense
57%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.78evenly matched on net striking+1.57
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Mauricio RuaForrest Griffin
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mauricio Rua(10 fights)Forrest Griffin(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-15.315.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-42.042.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.41.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Mauricio Rua
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights19
Forrest Griffin
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights3