Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Mauricio Rua won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 11, 2017·Fortaleza, Ceara, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupMauricio Rua: WrestlervsGian Villante: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Mauricio Rua wins(59.6%)
Actual result: Mauricio Rua wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mauricio Rua enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Gian Villante enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Gian Villante is a KO finisher (57% of wins). Mauricio Rua has lost 60% of fights by KO.
- Gian Villante has 34pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Mauricio Rua
Red Corner
VS
Gian Villante
Blue Corner
-155
(61%)
Vegas Odds
+135
(43%)
44
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'3"
193.04 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mauricio RuaL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Tyson Pedro · Dec 18W
vs Rogerio Nogueira · Jul 20L
KOvs Paul Craig · Nov 20L
vs Ovince Saint Preux · May 22L
KOvs Ihor Potieria · Jan 23Gian VillanteL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Ed Herman · Oct 18L
KOvs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Feb 19L
SUBvs Maurice Greene · Jun 20L
vs Jake Collier · Dec 20L
KOvs Chris Barnett · Nov 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mauricio RuaMetricGian Villante
3.57
Strikes / min
4.38
2.79
Strikes absorbed / min
5.47
54%
Strike defense
55%
2.01
TDs / 15 min
0.45
49%
Takedown defense
83%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.78Δ 1.87 — meaningful gap-1.09
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Mauricio RuaGian Villante
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mauricio Rua(10 fights)Gian Villante(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-8.48.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+209.0-209.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Mauricio Rua
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights19
Gian Villante
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights18