Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Ihor Potieria won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, January 21, 2023·Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupMauricio Rua: WrestlervsIhor Potieria: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Mauricio Rua wins(65.2%)
Actual result: Ihor Potieria wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ihor Potieria enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Mauricio Rua is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Ihor Potieria has lost 67% of fights by KO.
- Ihor Potieria is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Mauricio Rua has lost 60% of fights by KO.
- Ihor Potieria has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Ihor Potieria (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Mauricio Rua
Red Corner
VS
Ihor Potieria
Blue Corner
+165
(38%)
Vegas Odds
-195
(66%)
44
Age
29
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'1"
Height
6'3"
193.04 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mauricio RuaL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Anthony Smith · Jul 18W
KOvs Tyson Pedro · Dec 18W
vs Rogerio Nogueira · Jul 20L
KOvs Paul Craig · Nov 20L
vs Ovince Saint Preux · May 22Ihor PotieriaL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Rodolfo Bellato · Dec 23W
vs Robert Bryczek · Feb 24L
SUBvs Michel Pereira · May 24L
vs Cesar Almeida · Oct 24L
KOvs Marco Tulio · Jan 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mauricio RuaMetricIhor Potieria
3.57
Strikes / min
4.44
2.79
Strikes absorbed / min
4.96
54%
Strike defense
50%
2.01
TDs / 15 min
0.73
49%
Takedown defense
66%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.78Δ 1.30 — meaningful gap-0.52
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Mauricio RuaIhor Potieria
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mauricio Rua(10 fights)Ihor Potieria(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+23.3-23.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+84.0-84.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.7-1.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Mauricio Rua
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights19
Ihor Potieria
StanceSouthpaw
Height75.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights8