Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Ovince Saint Preux won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, May 7, 2022·Phoenix, Arizona, USA, USA
Style matchupMauricio Rua: WrestlervsOvince Saint Preux: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Mauricio Rua wins(54.7%)
Actual result: Ovince Saint Preux wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ovince Saint Preux has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Ovince Saint Preux (53.5%).
- Ovince Saint Preux has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Mauricio Rua
Red Corner
VS
Ovince Saint Preux
Blue Corner
+210
(32%)
Vegas Odds
-260
(72%)
44
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'1"
Height
6'3"
193.04 cm
Reach
203.2 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mauricio RuaL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Anthony Smith · Jul 18W
KOvs Tyson Pedro · Dec 18W
vs Rogerio Nogueira · Jul 20L
KOvs Paul Craig · Nov 20L
KOvs Ihor Potieria · Jan 23Ovince Saint Preux
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Jamahal Hill · Dec 20L
KOvs Tanner Boser · Jun 21L
KOvs Philipe Lins · Feb 23W
vs Kennedy Nzechukwu · Mar 24L
SUBvs Ryan Spann · Oct 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mauricio RuaMetricOvince Saint Preux
3.57
Strikes / min
3.03
2.79
Strikes absorbed / min
3.33
54%
Strike defense
47%
2.01
TDs / 15 min
1.09
49%
Takedown defense
67%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.78Δ 1.08 — meaningful gap-0.30
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Mauricio RuaOvince Saint Preux
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mauricio Rua(10 fights)Ovince Saint Preux(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+7.5-7.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+217.0-217.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Mauricio Rua
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights19
Ovince Saint Preux
StanceSouthpaw
Height75.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights28