Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Mauricio Rua won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, August 1, 2015·Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, Brazil
Model Prediction: Mauricio Rua wins(69.7%)
Actual result: Mauricio Rua wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mauricio Rua enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Rogerio Nogueira is a KO finisher (60% of wins). Mauricio Rua has lost 60% of fights by KO.
- Stance matchup historically favors Rogerio Nogueira (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Mauricio Rua
Red Corner
VS
Rogerio Nogueira
Blue Corner
-230
(70%)
Vegas Odds
+190
(34%)
44
Age
49
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'1"
Height
6'2"
193.04 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mauricio RuaL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Tyson Pedro · Dec 18W
vs Rogerio Nogueira · Jul 20L
KOvs Paul Craig · Nov 20L
vs Ovince Saint Preux · May 22L
KOvs Ihor Potieria · Jan 23Rogerio NogueiraL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Patrick Cummins · May 16L
KOvs Ryan Bader · Nov 16W
KOvs Sam Alvey · Sep 18L
KOvs Ryan Spann · May 19L
vs Mauricio Rua · Jul 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mauricio RuaMetricRogerio Nogueira
3.57
Strikes / min
2.43
2.79
Strikes absorbed / min
2.34
54%
Strike defense
59%
2.01
TDs / 15 min
0.64
49%
Takedown defense
62%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.78evenly matched on net striking+0.09
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Mauricio RuaRogerio Nogueira
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mauricio Rua(10 fights)Rogerio Nogueira(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-30.130.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-105.0105.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.2-1.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Mauricio Rua
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights19
Rogerio Nogueira
StanceSouthpaw
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights12