Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Mauricio Rua won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, December 1, 2018·Adelaide, South Australia, Australia, Australia
Model Prediction: Tyson Pedro wins(54.2%)
Actual result: Mauricio Rua wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mauricio Rua enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Tyson Pedro is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Mauricio Rua has lost 60% of fights by KO.
Tale of the Tape
Mauricio Rua
Red Corner
VS
Tyson Pedro
Blue Corner
+415
(19%)
Vegas Odds
-525
(84%)
44
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'3"
193.04 cm
Reach
200.66 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mauricio RuaL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Anthony Smith · Jul 18W
vs Rogerio Nogueira · Jul 20L
KOvs Paul Craig · Nov 20L
vs Ovince Saint Preux · May 22L
KOvs Ihor Potieria · Jan 23Tyson Pedro
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Ike Villanueva · Apr 22W
KOvs Harry Hunsucker · Aug 22L
vs Modestas Bukauskas · Feb 23W
KOvs Anton Turkalj · Sep 23L
vs Vitor Petrino · Mar 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mauricio RuaMetricTyson Pedro
3.57
Strikes / min
2.90
2.79
Strikes absorbed / min
2.39
54%
Strike defense
56%
2.01
TDs / 15 min
0.76
49%
Takedown defense
50%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.78evenly matched on net striking+0.51
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Mauricio RuaTyson Pedro
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mauricio Rua(10 fights)Tyson Pedro(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-3.63.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-29.029.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.7-1.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Mauricio Rua
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights19
Tyson Pedro
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights11