Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Michael Chandler enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Mauricio Ruffy is a KO finisher (80% of wins). Michael Chandler has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Mauricio Ruffy has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Mauricio Ruffy has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Mauricio Ruffy has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mauricio Ruffy
oldest →W
KOvs Jamie Mullarkey · May 24W
vs James Llontop · Nov 24W
KOvs King Green · Mar 25L
SUBvs Benoit Saint Denis · Sep 25W
KOvs Rafael Fiziev · Jan 26 Michael ChandlerL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Justin Gaethje · Nov 21W
KOvs Tony Ferguson · May 22L
SUBvs Dustin Poirier · Nov 22L
vs Charles Oliveira · Nov 24L
KOvs Paddy Pimblett · Apr 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mauricio RuffyMetricMichael Chandler
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.10evenly matched on net striking-0.48
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mauricio Ruffy(6 fights)Michael Chandler(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +99.0|Blue -99.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.3|Blue -1.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -294.0|Blue +294.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Mauricio RuffyTargetMichael Chandler
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Mauricio Ruffy edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control0:13
Knockdowns2
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
