Welterweight
3 Rounds
Chris Curtis won · S-DEC R3
MG
CC
Max GriffinvsChris Curtis
UFC Event · Saturday, July 12, 2025Nashville, Tennessee, USA, USA
Style matchupMax Griffin: Well-roundedvsChris Curtis: Pressure fighter
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Max Griffin wins(54.6%)
Actual result: Chris Curtis wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Chris Curtis enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
Max Griffin
Red Corner
VS
Chris Curtis
Blue Corner
+230
(30%)
Vegas Odds
-310
(76%)
40
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'10"
193.04 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Max Griffin
oldest →latest
L
vs Neil Magny · Mar 22W
vs Tim Means · Oct 22L
vs Michael Morales · Jul 23W
vs Jeremiah Wells · Feb 24L
SUBvs Michael Chiesa · Dec 24Chris CurtisL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Kelvin Gastelum · Apr 23W
vs Marc-Andre Barriault · Jan 24L
vs Brendan Allen · Apr 24L
KOvs Roman Kopylov · Jan 25L
vs Myktybek Orolbai · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Max GriffinMetricChris Curtis
3.70
Strikes / min
5.52
3.69
Strikes absorbed / min
5.75
58%
Strike defense
54%
1.44
TDs / 15 min
0.00
69%
Takedown defense
64%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.01evenly matched on net striking-0.23
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Max GriffinChris Curtis
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Max Griffin(10 fights)Chris Curtis(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-7.87.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+35.0-35.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Max Griffin
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights18
Chris Curtis
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights11