Welterweight
3 Rounds
Michael Morales won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 1, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupMax Griffin: Well-roundedvsMichael Morales: Well-rounded
Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.
Model Prediction: Max Griffin wins(56.4%)
Actual result: Michael Morales wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Michael Morales enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Michael Morales has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Max Griffin
Red Corner
VS
Michael Morales
Blue Corner
+205
(33%)
Vegas Odds
-250
(71%)
40
Age
26
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
6'0"
193.04 cm
Reach
200.66 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Max GriffinL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Neil Magny · Mar 22W
vs Tim Means · Oct 22W
vs Jeremiah Wells · Feb 24L
SUBvs Michael Chiesa · Dec 24L
vs Chris Curtis · Jul 25Michael MoralesW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Adam Fugitt · Jul 22W
vs Jake Matthews · Nov 23W
KOvs Neil Magny · Aug 24W
KOvs Gilbert Burns · May 25W
KOvs Sean Brady · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Max GriffinMetricMichael Morales
3.70
Strikes / min
5.68
3.69
Strikes absorbed / min
3.26
58%
Strike defense
53%
1.44
TDs / 15 min
1.04
69%
Takedown defense
89%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.01Δ 2.41 — meaningful gap+2.42
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Max GriffinMichael Morales
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Max Griffin(10 fights)Michael Morales(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-6.26.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-91.091.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Max Griffin
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights18
Michael Morales
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights7