Welterweight
3 Rounds
Victor Valenzuela won · Decision R3
Elo1489
Elo—
Max GriffinvsVictor Valenzuela
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · Saturday, April 25, 2026Las Vegas, USA
Style matchup
Model Prediction: Max Griffin wins(58.6%)
Scouting Report
- Max Griffin has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Max Griffin
Victor Valenzuela
—
Vegas Odds
—
1489
N/A
40
32
Orthodox
Orthodox
5'11"
5'9"
193.04 cm
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Max Griffin
oldest →
vs Tim Means · Oct 22
vs Michael Morales · Jul 23
vs Jeremiah Wells · Feb 24
SUBvs Michael Chiesa · Dec 24
vs Chris Curtis · Jul 25
latestVictor Valenzuela
Output & Defense Comparison
Max GriffinMetricVictor Valenzuela
3.70
Strikes / min
3.47
3.69
Strikes absorbed / min
4.81
58%
Strike defense
51%
1.44
TDs / 15 min
0.63
69%
Takedown defense
55%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.
Recent Elo Trajectory
Max GriffinVictor Valenzuela
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Max Griffin
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights19
Victor Valenzuela
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights1