Featherweight
5 Rounds
🏆 Title Bout
Max Holloway won · KO/TKO R4
UFC Event·Saturday, December 8, 2018·Toronto, Ontario, Canada, Canada
Model Prediction: Max Holloway wins(71.5%)
Actual result: Max Holloway wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Max Holloway has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Brian Ortega (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Max Holloway
Red Corner
VS
Brian Ortega
Blue Corner
-110
(52%)
Vegas Odds
-110
(52%)
34
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'11"
Height
5'8"
175.26 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Max Holloway
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Chan Sung Jung · Aug 23W
KOvs Justin Gaethje · Apr 24L
KOvs Ilia Topuria · Oct 24W
vs Dustin Poirier · Jul 25L
vs Charles Oliveira · Mar 26Brian OrtegaL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Alexander Volkanovski · Sep 21L
KOvs Yair Rodriguez · Jul 22W
SUBvs Yair Rodriguez · Feb 24L
vs Diego Lopes · Sep 24L
vs Aljamain Sterling · Aug 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Max HollowayMetricBrian Ortega
6.91
Strikes / min
3.84
4.61
Strikes absorbed / min
6.38
58%
Strike defense
49%
0.23
TDs / 15 min
0.93
81%
Takedown defense
54%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.90
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.30Δ 4.84 — meaningful gap-2.54
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Max HollowayBrian Ortega
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Max Holloway(10 fights)Brian Ortega(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+70.6-70.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+91.0-91.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.9-1.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Max Holloway
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights32
Brian Ortega
StanceSwitch
Height68.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights13