Featherweight
5 Rounds
Max Holloway won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Sunday, August 23, 2015·Saskatoon, Saskatchewan, Canada, Canada
Style matchupMax Holloway: Pressure fightervsCharles Oliveira: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Max Holloway wins(62.9%)
Actual result: Max Holloway wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Max Holloway has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Max Holloway has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Charles Oliveira has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Max Holloway
Red Corner
VS
Charles Oliveira
Blue Corner
-255
(72%)
Vegas Odds
+215
(32%)
34
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'10"
175.26 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Max Holloway
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Chan Sung Jung · Aug 23W
KOvs Justin Gaethje · Apr 24L
KOvs Ilia Topuria · Oct 24W
vs Dustin Poirier · Jul 25L
vs Charles Oliveira · Mar 26Charles OliveiraW2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Arman Tsarukyan · Apr 24W
vs Michael Chandler · Nov 24L
KOvs Ilia Topuria · Jun 25W
SUBvs Mateusz Gamrot · Oct 25W
vs Max Holloway · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Max HollowayMetricCharles Oliveira
6.91
Strikes / min
3.23
4.61
Strikes absorbed / min
3.05
58%
Strike defense
48%
0.23
TDs / 15 min
2.29
81%
Takedown defense
54%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
2.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.30Δ 2.12 — meaningful gap+0.18
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Max HollowayCharles Oliveira
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Max Holloway(10 fights)Charles Oliveira(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+28.1-28.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+42.0-42.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+2.3-2.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Max Holloway
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights32
Charles Oliveira
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights36