Featherweight
3 Rounds
Max Holloway won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, December 12, 2015·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupMax Holloway: Pressure fightervsJeremy Stephens: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Max Holloway wins(76.3%)
Actual result: Max Holloway wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jeremy Stephens enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Max Holloway has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Max Holloway
Red Corner
VS
Jeremy Stephens
Blue Corner
-450
(82%)
Vegas Odds
+360
(22%)
34
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'9"
175.26 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Max Holloway
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Chan Sung Jung · Aug 23W
KOvs Justin Gaethje · Apr 24L
KOvs Ilia Topuria · Oct 24W
vs Dustin Poirier · Jul 25L
vs Charles Oliveira · Mar 26Jeremy StephensL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Zabit Magomedsharipov · Mar 19L
vs Yair Rodriguez · Oct 19L
KOvs Calvin Kattar · May 20L
SUBvs Mateusz Gamrot · Jul 21L
vs Mason Jones · May 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Max HollowayMetricJeremy Stephens
6.91
Strikes / min
3.13
4.61
Strikes absorbed / min
3.25
58%
Strike defense
57%
0.23
TDs / 15 min
1.10
81%
Takedown defense
61%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.30Δ 2.42 — meaningful gap-0.12
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Max HollowayJeremy Stephens
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Max Holloway(10 fights)Jeremy Stephens(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+82.6-82.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-43.043.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.4-1.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Max Holloway
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights32
Jeremy Stephens
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights26