Featherweight
5 Rounds
Max Holloway won · U-DEC R5
UFC Event·Saturday, November 13, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupMax Holloway: Pressure fightervsYair Rodriguez: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Max Holloway wins(67.1%)
Actual result: Max Holloway wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Max Holloway has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Max Holloway
Red Corner
VS
Yair Rodriguez
Blue Corner
-675
(87%)
Vegas Odds
+475
(17%)
34
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'11"
175.26 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Max Holloway
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Chan Sung Jung · Aug 23W
KOvs Justin Gaethje · Apr 24L
KOvs Ilia Topuria · Oct 24W
vs Dustin Poirier · Jul 25L
vs Charles Oliveira · Mar 26Yair Rodriguez
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Brian Ortega · Jul 22W
SUBvs Josh Emmett · Feb 23L
KOvs Alexander Volkanovski · Jul 23L
SUBvs Brian Ortega · Feb 24W
vs Patricio Freire · Apr 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Max HollowayMetricYair Rodriguez
6.91
Strikes / min
4.65
4.61
Strikes absorbed / min
3.78
58%
Strike defense
52%
0.23
TDs / 15 min
0.71
81%
Takedown defense
59%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.30Δ 1.43 — meaningful gap+0.87
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Max HollowayYair Rodriguez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Max Holloway(10 fights)Yair Rodriguez(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+57.3-57.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-456.0456.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
Max Holloway
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights32
Yair Rodriguez
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights15