Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Melissa Martinez won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 19, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupMelissa Martinez: StrikervsAlice Ardelean: Pressure fighter
The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.
Model Prediction: Melissa Martinez wins(57.0%)
Actual result: Melissa Martinez wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alice Ardelean has 35pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Melissa Martinez (53.5%).
- Melissa Martinez has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Melissa Martinez
Red Corner
VS
Alice Ardelean
Blue Corner
-155
(61%)
Vegas Odds
+130
(43%)
28
Age
34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'2"
Height
5'3"
167.64 cm
Reach
157.48 cm
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Melissa MartinezL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Elise Reed · Sep 22L
KOvs Fatima Kline · Jul 25Alice ArdeleanW2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Shauna Bannon · Jul 24W
vs Rayanne dos Santos · May 25W
vs Montserrat Conejo Ruiz · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Melissa MartinezMetricAlice Ardelean
3.78
Strikes / min
7.35
5.21
Strikes absorbed / min
5.20
53%
Strike defense
62%
0.35
TDs / 15 min
1.00
50%
Takedown defense
85%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.43Δ 3.58 — meaningful gap+2.15
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Melissa MartinezAlice Ardelean
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Melissa Martinez(3 fights)Alice Ardelean(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+686.0-686.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Melissa Martinez
StanceSouthpaw
Height62.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights3
Alice Ardelean
StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach62.0"
Fights4